Fuel-Mining Exports and Growth in a Developing State: The Case of the UAE

Authors

  • Athanasia Stylianou Kalaitzi Middle East Centre, London School of Economics and Political Science
  • Trevor William Chamberlain DeGroote School of Business, McMaster University

Abstract

This study examines the causal effects of traditional UAE exports on economic growth over the period 1981-2012, using a neoclassical production function augmented with fuel-mining exports and imports of goods and services. To investigate the existence of a long-run relationship between fuel-mining exports and economic growth, the study applies the Johansen cointegration test, while the direction of the short-run causality is examined by applying the Granger causality test in a vector error correction model framework. In addition, a modified Wald test in an augmented vector autoregressive model, developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), is used to investigate the existence of a long-run causality between the variables. The cointegration analysis confirms the existence of a long-run relationship between the variables, while fuel-mining exports are found to have a negative impact on economic growth. Moreover, the study finds that fuel-mining exports do not cause economic growth in the short-run or the long-run.Keywords: Exports, Economic Growth, Causality, UAEJEL Classifications: O47, F43, C32DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.9183

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Published

2020-05-16

How to Cite

Kalaitzi, A. S., & Chamberlain, T. W. (2020). Fuel-Mining Exports and Growth in a Developing State: The Case of the UAE. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 10(4), 300–308. Retrieved from https://econjournals.com.tr/index.php/ijeep/article/view/9183

Issue

Vol. 10 No. 4 (2020)

Section

Articles

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